1.
Please provide your organization’s comments on the presentations by/on behalf of the California LSE group, the Energy Trading Institute, Nodal Exchange, the CAISO Department of Market Monitoring, and the Bay Area Municipal Transmission Group.
As co-sponsors of the California LSEs’ presentation during the May 12, 2025 stakeholder meeting, the Six Cities reiterate and emphasize their support for the statement of key points and the description of the purposes for congestion revenue rights (“CRRs”) as summarized on the first two slides of the California LSEs’ presentation. Collectively, the presentations during the May 12th meeting and the related discussion contributed strong support for focusing the CRR Enhancements initiative on two primary topics: (i) the usefulness of CRRs as hedging instruments; and (ii) the appropriateness of the current CRR auction design.
The overview of FERC precedent regarding the intended purpose of financial transmission rights (“FTRs”), including CRRs, in the Energy Trading Institute (“ETI”) presentation was useful, but, regrettably, omitted important details and context. For example, the ETI presentation (at slide 5) emphasized that the Energy Policy Act of 2005[1] ( “EPAct 2005”) provided the basis for FERC Order No. 681 and required the establishment of long-term firm transmission rights in organized markets. To be clear, the focus of EPAct 2005, specifically in a section entitled “Native Load Service Obligation,” is on enabling load-serving entities to procure transmission rights to meet their service obligations to their customers. As this section directed:
The Commission shall exercise the authority of the Commission under this chapter in a manner that facilitates the planning and expansion of transmission facilities to meet the reasonable needs of load-serving entities to satisfy the service obligations of the load-serving entities, and enables load-serving entities to secure firm transmission rights (or equivalent tradable or financial rights) on a long-term basis for long-term power supply arrangements made, or planned, to meet such needs.[2]
In implementing the directives of EPAct 2005 in the Order No. 681 series,[3] the Commission emphasized the focus of the Act on facilitating service by load-serving entities to native load customers. See Order No. 681 at PP 78-80. Order No. 681 recognized EPAct’s 2005 “overall focus on protecting the transmission rights of load-serving entities with service obligations.” Id. at P 322. Order No. 681 further states:
. . . [S]ection 217 of the FPA provides a general “due” preference for load serving entities to obtain long-term firm transmission service. Moreover, section 217(d), which provides that the Commission may make transmission rights that are not used to meet a load serving entity’s service available to other entities, strongly indicates that Congress intended for load serving entities to be “first in line” for long-term transmission rights that are made available.
Id. at P 320.
In addition, the Order No. 681 series tied the priority for load-serving entities to on-going financial support of the transmission system. The Commission stated in Order No. 681-A:
A load serving entity is entitled to a preference in the allocation of long-term firm transmission rights within a transmission organization’s region only to the extent that the transmission organization plans and constructs its transmission system to support the load of the load serving entity, and the load serving entity contributes to the cost that the transmission organization incurs for that purpose. It would be unreasonable to require a transmission organization to provide a load serving entity with a preference in the allocation of firm transmission rights for specific loads, either long-term or short-term, when the transmission organization has not planned and constructed its system to accommodate those loads, and when the loads have not contributed to the system’s embedded costs.
Order No. 681-A at P 78. Order No. 681-A went on to clarify that load-serving entities located outside the boundaries of a transmission organization can qualify for the priority in access to transmission rights by committing to provide financial support to the transmission system on which it seeks a transmission right. See id. at PP 78-80.
The emphasis in EPAct 2005 and Order No. 681 on the ability of load-serving entities to meet their service obligations to native load reinforces the nature of equivalent financial rights as relating to hedging for physical deliveries of energy. Furthermore, nothing in EPAct 2005 or the Order No. 681 series requires a transmission organization to provide financial transmission rights to entities that do not use them for hedging at the expense of load-serving entities.
The presentation by the Bay Area Municipal Transmission Group (“BAMx”) at the May 12th meeting established a clear distinction between the purposes for which allocated CRRs and most auctioned CRRs are used. The BAMx analysis showed (at slide 5) that approximately 90% of auctioned CRRs have been purchased by entities representing less than 10% of physical transactions in the CAISO market as reported in Electric Quarterly Report (“EQR”) forms submitted to FERC. This provides strong evidence that CRRs purchased in the CAISO auctions are not predominantly used for hedging purposes. In addition, the Department of Market Monitoring (“DMM”) presentation at slide 10 demonstrated that allocated CRRs as a group are revenue adequate and, indeed, have produced surpluses. The Six Cities agree with observations by BAMx that CRRs are not functioning as the equivalent of firm transmission for entities that are not using CRRs for hedging, and that entities that do not use the transmission system are reducing congestion revenues available to entities that are using the transmission system and paying for that use. The Six Cities therefore support the recommendations on slide 8 of the BAMx presentation.
The Six Cities also support parallel suggestions (including by an ETI representative) to analyze levels of underfunding by market participant type or, alternatively, distinguish between CRRs used for hedging of physical deliveries versus CRRs not used for hedges of physical transactions. Efforts to identify measures to reduce underfunding explored in this initiative should focus on addressing underfunding for CRRs actually used for hedging. In addition, the CAISO should reject any suggestion that underfunding of CRRs not used for hedging of physical deliveries should be charged to load. Such an approach would be patently inconsistent with both of the recognized core purposes of CRRs, which are providing an opportunity for hedging of physical deliveries and returning congestion revenues to load.
With respect to the appropriateness of the current design for CRR auctions, the Six Cities continue to support the willing seller/willing buyer design proposed by the DMM and supported by the DMM presentation at the May 12th meeting. The willing seller/willing buyer design will continue to allow participation in the auctions by all market participants, but it will no longer compel load-serving entities to fund sales of CRRs purchased at deeply discounted prices.
Proponents of retaining the current auction design argue that financial participants who purchase CRRs at deeply discounted prices provide liquidity and price discovery benefits that justify their collection of congestion rents far in excess of the prices paid for the CRRs at the expense of load serving entities who have paid and continue to pay for the transmission system. Not one of the stakeholders supporting retention of the current auction design has offered any evidence based on CAISO market data that there are market benefits sufficient to justify the magnitude of congestion revenue transfers from load to financial participants that the CRR auctions routinely have produced.
Rather than producing evidence of benefits provided by financial market participants based on data from the CAISO markets, defenders of the current CRR auction design rely heavily (and exclusively) on analyses of PJM[4] and MISO[5] market data by London Economics International LLC (“LEI”). See, e.g., Slide 6 of the ETI Presentation. Notably, LEI’s analysis of PJM’s FTR framework stated:
[T]he average annual cost to load associated with the current FTR construct is not a small number ($223 million a year, historically). However, the absolute size of the “leakage” is not demonstrative of whether load is harmed by the current design. Whether this amount of “leakage” is reasonable should be answered by analyzing the benefits provided by non-load participating in the FTR market, and whether the benefits outweigh the costs . . . .
See LEI PJM Report at 81 (footnote omitted).
LEI’s analysis of PJM’s market data led it to conclude that benefits provided by non-load participation in the PJM FTR market did exceed the congestion revenues transferred to such participants by load in that market. See LEI PJM Report at 86-87. Proponents of retaining the CAISO’s current auction design simply assume, without any empirical demonstration or even critical analysis, that observations expressed by LEI in the context of its study of different markets in different regions of the country with different FTR frameworks necessarily apply to the CAISO’s CRR design and market dynamics.
As an initial matter, the bare assumptions that the LEI analyses of PJM and MISO provide any relevant information regarding the CAISO’s CRR auction design ignore significant differences between the design constructs and market structures in the different markets. LEI’s analysis of the PJM auction revenue rights (“ARR”)/FTR design itself includes a section comparing the FTR approaches taken by different markets as well as differences in market structure. See LEI PJM Report at 96-105. Some notable differences in market structure as of the 2020 data included in LEI’s analysis are:
- PJM, covering 13 states, had approximately 2.31 times more installed capacity than the CAISO and peak load approximately 3.35 times the CAISO peak load. Id. at 97, Fig. 45;
- The CAISO system appeared relatively more congested, with the PJM system, having 3.35 times the peak load of the CAISO, collecting only approximately 1.7 times the CAISO Day-Ahead congestion revenues. Id. This comparison would be affected by relative prices in the two regions, but it suggests a higher degree of overall congestion in CAISO;
- PJM collected more than twice the volume of FTR auction revenues/MWh of consumption than CAISO. Id. at 99, Fig. 46 and 47;
- PJM’s market included substantially higher volumes of futures trading in relation to load than CAISO. Id. at 100, Fig. 48.
Most importantly for the purposes of this initiative, the PJM auctions produced proportionally more revenues in relation to FTR congestion payments to non-load entities than the CAISO auctions have been producing. LEI estimated that PJM auction revenues fell short of congestion payments to non-load entities by approximately 7% in years with normal weather conditions, or by an average of approximately 13% in the six year period evaluated. See LEI PJM Report at 79-80. In contrast, CAISO auction revenues have fallen short of congestion payments by an average of 35% from 2019-2024 (with pro-rata congestion payouts) or by 50% of notional congestion charges. See, e.g., Slide 21 of the CAISO 11.14.24 Working Group Presentation.
The proportional differences in auction efficiency undermine any application of conclusions about auction benefits in the PJM market to the CAISO. LEI estimated that, in PJM, “indicative benefits over the longer term” ranging from $523 million - $1,207 million outweighed $223 million in profits paid to non-load participants. LEI PJM Report at 92. Contentions by stakeholders in this proceeding (several of whom acknowledged their lack of familiarity with CAISO markets) that the LEI estimate of costs versus benefits for PJM provides any useful information regarding the costs versus benefits of the current form of the CAISO’s CRR auction are fundamentally misleading, because they ignore the substantial differences between the PJM and CAISO markets with respect to both the magnitude of auction inefficiency and market structure and dynamics. Comparing the average level of profits to financial participants in the CAISO’s market of $120 million/year with scaled calculations of LEI’s estimated benefits yields the following:
CAISO Profits to Financial Entities
(2017-2018) (DMM “Willing seller market design for congestion revenue rights,”[6])
|
Estimated Marginal Cost Savings
(LEI est. scaled at .3 based on relative peak load)
$29.7 - $95.4 million/year
|
$120 million/year (approx.)
|
Estimated Transaction cost savings
(LEI est. scaled at .1 based on relative volumes of forward transactions)
|
|
$42.4 - $88.9 million/year
|
|
Total estimated benefits (scaled)
$72.1 - $184.3 million/year
|
Net estimated (losses)/ benefits
|
- $47.9 - + $64.3 million
|
The scaling factors for the foregoing calculations are derived from Figure 45 of the LEI PJM Report (CAISO peak load relative to PJM peak load) at page 97 and Figure 48 of the LEI PJM Report (2019 CAISO forward transactions relative to PJM forward transactions) at page 100. The scaled estimates of benefits do not provide any basis for confidence that the proportionally higher levels of payments to financial entities in the CAISO’s CRR auctions are likely to be outweighed by market benefits, even presuming (again without empirical support) that market benefits necessarily are equivalent to benefits received by load required to bear the costs.
The presenter for the Nodal Exchange at the May 12th meeting also asserted (without supporting data) that the CAISO’s CRR auctions contribute to price discovery in national markets. See Slide 4 of Nodal Exchange Presentation. Even if that is accurate, it provides no justification for imposing such a substantial burden for national or even regional price discovery on CAISO load. Such an outcome represents the antithesis of the cost causation principle, which requires that benefits relating to an allocated cost be roughly commensurate with the level of cost imposed.[7] There has been absolutely no evidence provided to demonstrate that the benefits to California load are roughly commensurate with the revenues they are forced to transfer to financial participants through the CRR auction design.
DMM’s willing seller/willing buyer proposal would not exclude financial participants and would not prevent purchase of CRRs by any eligible entity. The stakeholders opposing DMM’s proposal appear to view the willing seller/willing buyer auction framework as the equivalent of having no auction at all, seemingly based on an assumption that there would be limited interest in participation. That assumption, however, lacks support. Data included in the CAISO’s February 27 and March 12 presentations demonstrate, for example, a trend of increasing offers of allocated CRRs in the auctions and increasing clearing rates for those offers. An auction involving willing sellers and willing buyers will still produce auction prices for CRRs, and there is no reason to simply assume that the prices produced by that type of auction would contribute less to forward price discovery than the prices produced by the current auction design. To the contrary, the current auction design produces prices that consistently under-predict congestion, thereby providing a flawed price signal to the market. It is more logical to assume that a willing seller/willing buyer auction, in which both sellers and buyers contribute to auction price formation, would produce prices that would be better predictors of congestion and provide price signals more beneficial to the market. In addition, a willing seller/willing buyer auction design would eliminate underfunding for any auctioned CRRs and would enable the elimination of any restrictions on eligible source/sink pairs for auctioned CRRs.
[1] Energy Policy Act of 2005, Pub. L. No. 109-58, 119 Stat. 549 (2005).
[2] See EPAct 2005 at § 1233(a), 119 Stat. at 957, adding FPA § 217(b)(4) (emphasis added).
[3] Long-Term Firm Transmission Rights in Organized Electricity Markets, Order No. 681, 116 FERC ¶ 61,077 (2006), order on reh'g, Order No. 681-A, 117 FERC ¶ 61,201 (2006), order on reh'g, Order No. 681-B, 126 FERC ¶ 61,254 (2009).
[4] See London Economics International, LLC, Review of PJM’s Auction Revenue Rights and Financial Transmission Rights (Jan. 22, 2021) (“ LEI PJM Report”).
[5] See London Economics International, LLC, Independent Evaluation of MISO’s Auction Revenue Rights and Financial Transmission Rights (Jan. 12, 2023).
[6] See California ISO Department of Market Monitoring, Willing seller market design for congestion revenue rights at 29 (Oct. 23, 2024), available at https://www.caiso.com/documents/willing-counterparty-whitepaper-oct-23-2024.pdf.
[7] See, e.g., Transmission Planning and Cost Allocation by Transmission Owning and Operating Public Utilities, Order No. 1000-B, 141 FERC ¶ 61,044, at P 66 (2012) (order on reh’g) (describing cost causation principles).
2.
Please provide your organization’s feedback on the draft goals presented at the meeting on slides 14 and 22 of the CAISO presentation.
The Six Cities support the following proposed goal:
Fair allocation of transmission revenues to customers paying the embedded costs of the transmission system
This goal is well-aligned with one of the two key purposes of CRRs as discussed in the California LSE presentation on May 12th, which is to return congestion costs to load-serving entities that are responsible for funding the costs of the CAISO transmission systems.
The May 12th presentation at slide 14 also identifies two additional “possible goals”:
CRRs in the auction should be priced at a reasonable approximation of the expected payout of congestion rent in the day-ahead market
Transmission customers receive approximately commensurate value for payouts made to CRR rights purchased in the auction
The Six Cities generally support consideration of these concepts in conjunction with the goal of ensuring that transmission revenues are fairly allocated to CAISO customers that have responsibilities for funding the transmission system, but a broader question in this initiative is whether the current auction process should be reformed. These two possible goals should not be premised on retention of the current auction structure. The Six Cities remain supportive of the willing seller model as proposed by DMM.
The Six Cities also generally agree with the CAISO’s goal as identified on slide 22:
Allow hedging costs of congestion in the context of a day-ahead energy market
The following two draft goals, also identified on slide 22, seem to appropriately disaggregate this initially-proposed goal, but the Six Cities would support modification of the first draft goal as follows:
The CRR market’s products and processes should facilitate hedging tools and maintain the hedging value of CRRs for physical energy transactions to the extent possible
Day-ahead energy market participants exposed to congestion risk should be able to hedge that risk efficiently