1.
Please provide your organization’s comments on the Draft 2026 Transmission Economic Assessment Methodology document and September 17 meeting.
I. Summary
The Bay Area Municipal Transmission Group (BAMx)[1] appreciates the opportunity to comment on the CAISO’s proposed revision to the congestion revenue allocation approach in the Transmission Economic Assessment Methodology (TEAM)[2], and thanks CAISO staff for the presentation, dated September 17, 2026.[3]
BAMx understands and supports the motivation for the change. Under the ownership-based approach in place since 2005, CAISO ratepayers are credited with the entirety of the congestion rent collected on CAISO-operated facilities, including the portion associated with flows serving load outside the CAISO.[4] When an upgrade relieves that congestion, the full rent is removed from the benefit calculation while the offsetting reduction in load payment reflects only the CAISO’s own share. That asymmetry can cause a genuinely beneficial project to score poorly, and correcting it is a legitimate objective.
BAMx’s comments are directed at a single question: does the revised approach correctly measure benefits to CAISO ratepayers, who fund these projects? If it does, BAMx supports it. If it overstates those benefits, the consequence is that CAISO ratepayers could fund projects that are not in fact economic to them — and on the record presented, that consequence would not be hypothetical. The Path 15 alternative in the CAISO’s own example moves from a benefit-to-cost ratio of 0.81 to 3.24[5], and Appendix G of the Revised Draft 2025-2026 Transmission Plan (Appendix G, hereafter)[6] indicates that nearly all Path 15 alternatives cross the approval threshold under the revised approaches.[7]
BAMx does not believe the record yet provides adequate support for its proposal on that question. In the CAISO’s own example, the measured benefit to CAISO ratepayers is approximately twice the total production cost savings available to the entire Western Interconnection. BAMx requests that the CAISO either demonstrate why that outcome is a correct measure of ratepayer benefit to the funders of the proposed project, or adopt a check that prevents the measured benefit from exceeding the actual project savings.
II. The Core Concern: The Measured Benefit Exceeds the Savings the Project Produces
BAMx has replicated both September 17, 2026 examples from Appendix G. Example 1 corresponds to Tables G.9-13 and G.9-14 (Path 15 corridor); Example 2 corresponds to Tables G.9-17 and G.9-18.[8] The replication isolates the mechanism. For Example 1, the gross benefit — the reduction in CAISO load payment less the reduction in CAISO generator profit[9] — is approximately $1,398 million per year and is identical under all three approaches. Total WECC production cost savings are likewise identical at approximately $383 million per year. The dispatch, the flows, and the real resource savings do not change across the approaches. What changes is only how much congestion revenue is credited to CAISO ratepayers, and therefore how much is deducted:[10]
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Example 1 — Path 15 Corridor ($M/yr)
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Current TEAM
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Revised (CAISO)
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Revised (WECC)
|
|
Gross benefit (load payment less generator profit)
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1,398
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1,398
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1,398
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|
Congestion revenue deducted
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1,207
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631
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658
|
|
Measured CAISO ratepayer benefit
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191
|
768
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740
|
|
Total WECC production cost savings
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383
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383
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383
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|
Measured benefit as a multiple of total WECC savings
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0.5x
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2.0x
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1.9x
|
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Benefit-to-Cost Ratio
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0.81
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3.24
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3.12
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Production cost savings represent the real resource savings created by the project. Under the revised approach, CAISO ratepayers are credited with roughly twice that amount. Because transfers internal to the CAISO are already netted out in the generator profit term, the excess does not appear to be an internal transfer; it appears to represent a transfer from parties outside the CAISO, recorded as a benefit to CAISO ratepayers.
BAMx acknowledges that a transfer to CAISO ratepayers is a real financial benefit to CAISO ratepayers, and that the ratepayer perspective is the correct lens for a ratepayer-funded project. BAMx’s concern is narrower, that is, a benefit measure untethered from what the project actually saves can be large even when the project is not economic, because the measure rewards the redistribution of rent rather than the reduction of cost. Under the current methodology, the ownership-based deduction constrained that result, crudely but effectively. BAMx is unsure that the revised approach captures how the congestion revenues will be allocated in practice.
This matters because the effect is outcome-determinative across a broad set of projects, not just the illustrative example. Appendix G reports that “all alternatives, except for Alternative 2, showed benefit to cost ratios greater than 1.0 when the new congestion revenue allocation approaches were used,”[11] and indicates that the CAISO will consider recommending Alternative 6 for approval in the 2026-2027 TPP planning cycle.[12] A methodological refinement with a significant impact on the approval threshold warrants a demonstration that the new measure is sound.
III. The Baseline Used in Example 1 Should Be Identified
The “Pre upgrade” row presented on Slide 10 of the CAISO’s September 17, 2026 presentation corresponds to Alternative 1 in Table G.9-13 — the addition of 70% series compensation on the Gates – Los Banos #3 500 kV line — and not to the 2040 base portfolio case.[13] This is consistent with Appendix G, which states that the production cost savings for alternatives other than Alternative 1 “were calculated by using Alternative 1 as the base, since all these alternatives included the scope of Alternative 1,” and that the costs used in the benefit to cost ratio calculation for those alternatives “did not include the cost of Alternative 1.”[14]
BAMx does not object to the incremental convention. The Path 15 alternatives are nested, and Alternative 6 includes the full scope of Alternative 1, so measuring Alternative 6 against the unmitigated base case while excluding Alternative 1’s cost would mismatch benefits and costs.[15] The convention is also reasonable in context because Alternative 1 is separately recommended for approval as an economic-driven upgrade and therefore functions as a committed baseline for the next planning cycle.[16]
BAMx notes, however, that Slide 11 uses the identical label “Pre upgrade” to denote the actual 2040 base portfolio case.[17] The two examples therefore apply different reference cases under the same label, and a reader without Appendix G at hand would reasonably understand both to be measured against an unmitigated system. BAMx requests that the CAISO identify the reference case expressly wherever these results are presented, and state whether the reported project cost includes or excludes the cost of the reference alternative.
IV. CAISO Has Not Provided Adequate Support for its Proposal
Following the September 17 meeting, the CAISO identified Appendix G as containing the underlying data. BAMx has reviewed it. Appendix G permits replication of the reported totals, and Section G.3 provides the financial parameters underlying the benefit-to-cost calculations, which BAMx considers sufficient.[18] BAMx appreciates both.
However, Appendix G reports congestion rent only in total by constraint.[19] It contains no allocation of that rent among areas under any of the three approaches, no flow contribution factors, and no counter-flow accounting.[20] Because the allocation is the entire mechanism of the proposed change, the published record does not allow a stakeholder to test whether the revised measure is correct — only to confirm that the totals add up.
Specifically, the CAISO does not explain how approximately $1,065 million of base-case congestion revenue is reattributed away from CAISO ratepayers in Example 1, which areas receive it, or why the resulting ratepayer benefit should exceed total production cost savings.[21] BAMx notes that the CAISO has acknowledged that under the revised approach congestion revenue on CAISO internal constraints is only partially allocated to CAISO ratepayers.[22] But CAISO does not explain how that could be affected by proposed changes to congestion revenue allocation and thus whether the proposed approach is expected to be a durable basis for determining whether CAISO ratepayers should fund a project.
Specifically, BAMx requests that the CAISO explain how the proposed TEAM treatment relates to its treatment of congestion revenue in the Extended Day-Ahead Market (EDAM). Under the EDAM design, congestion revenue is allocated based on the location of the transmission constraint, with exceptions for self-scheduled transactions using transmission rights external to CAISO, so not all congestion arising on a constraint located within the CAISO balancing authority area is allocated to CAISO.[23] The revised TEAM approach appears to attempt to recognize the current EDAM approach, attributing a substantial portion of the congestion revenue arising on CAISO internal constraints away from CAISO ratepayers on flow contribution.[24] However, the EDAM congestion revenue allocation approach may change to address asymmetries in treatment for non-CAISO BAAs vs. CAISO.[25] BAMx observes that flow contribution is a reasonable organizing principle and has said so in the EDAM context,[26] but only if it aligns with how congestion revenues actually are allocated. The difficulty is not the principle but the coexistence of two different premises for the same congestion rent: the amount the CAISO is projected to receive under one construct is used to determine whether CAISO ratepayers should fund a project, while the amount actually allocated under the other construct may differ materially. BAMx requests that the CAISO address this relationship expressly, state whether the revised TEAM attribution is intended to capture only the current EDAM approach or whether it would be modified to address future changes in EDAM settlement, and confirm that the benefit measure used in the transmission planning process will remain reconcilable with the congestion revenue the CAISO balancing authority area is in fact allocated.[27] BAMx raises this to ensure the two initiatives proceed on a consistent factual basis.
V. Data and Analysis Requested
BAMx has narrowed its request to what is necessary to answer the core concern described in Section II above. BAMx requests that the CAISO post the following:
- Reconciliation of ratepayer benefit to production cost savings. For Example 1, an explanation of the components of the $1,398 million gross benefit, identifying how much represents production cost savings accruing to CAISO ratepayers and how much represents a transfer of rent from parties outside the CAISO, and the CAISO’s view on why the resulting measure is an appropriate basis for ratepayer-funded approval.
- Allocation bridge by constraint. For the Path 15 Alternative 1 and Alternative 6 cases, congestion revenue by binding constraint under each approach, reconciling to the CAISO transmission revenue totals in Table G.9-13. This will help with explaining the reattribution.
- Flow contribution factors and counter-flow treatment. The net positive flow contribution factors by area and constraint for the constraints in Table G.9-10[28], together with the gross positive, gross negative, and net contribution by area, and a statement of how rent otherwise attributable to areas providing counter-flow is treated and whether the denominator sums to unity.
- Settlement reconciliation. For one or more recent settled years, a comparison of congestion revenue actually credited to the Transmission Revenue Balancing Account on PTO-owned facilities against the amount the revised approach would attribute to CAISO ratepayers, so that the analytical measure can be compared to amounts ratepayers actually receive.[29]
VI. Recommendations
BAMx is not asking the CAISO to defer the TEAM update pending completion of the EDAM CRA Phase 2 initiative; the revised flow-contribution approach appears consistent with the congestion revenue allocation rules currently in effect under EDAM. BAMx’s recommendations are instead directed at ensuring that consistency is confirmed and that it is maintained as those rules evolve. BAMx recommends the following:
- Demonstrate that the revised flow-contribution approach, as proposed to be applied to constraints within CAISO territory, is consistent with the congestion revenue allocation rules currently in effect under the Extended Day-Ahead Market.
- Commit to updating the TEAM methodology and consider whether the economic viability of any project approval that materially relied on the basis of the interim measure should be revisited where practicable, if and when the EDAM congestion revenue allocation methodology is changed through the EDAM CRA Phase 2 initiative or otherwise.[30]
- State expressly in the TEAM document how counter-flow contributions are treated, how areas and embedded load are defined, and how the allocation factors are computed and weighted, so that the methodology is reproducible by parties other than the CAISO.
- Reconcile the TEAM document with current practice regarding the capital cost to revenue requirement screening factor, which Appendix G applies as 1.3 while the TEAM document continues to reflect 1.45.[31]
[1] The members of BAMx are City of Palo Alto Utilities and City of Santa Clara, dba Silicon Valley Power.
[2] CAISO, Transmission Economic Assessment Methodology (TEAM) Draft Update, September 10, 2026 (Revision 3.0), Revision History and Section 2.4.3, pp. 22-23.
[3] CAISO, 2026 Transmission Economic Assessment Methodology (TEAM) Document Update, Stakeholder Meeting Presentation, September 17, 2026 (“September 17 Presentation”).
[4] TEAM Draft Update, September 10, 2026, Section 2.4.3, p. 22 (“Ownership is used to indicate which transmission’s revenue and generator’s profit will be counted to offset ratepayer’s payment…”). TEAM was first proposed by the CAISO in 2004 and approved by the CPUC in 2005. See id., Revision History (Revision 1.0) and Executive Summary, Section ES.1.
[5] September 17 Presentation, Slide 10 (Example 1 — Path 15 corridor study in 2025-2026 TPP cycle).
[6] CAISO, Revised Draft 2025-2026 Transmission Plan, Appendix G: Production Cost Simulation and Economic Assessment Detailed Results, May 12, 2026 (“Appendix G”).
[7] Appendix G, p. G-70.
[8] September 17 Presentation, Slides 10 and 11; Appendix G, Tables G.9-13 and G.9-14 (Path 15 corridor, pp. G-68 to G-70) and Tables G.9-17 and G.9-18 (Las Aguilas — Moss Landing).
[9] September 17 Presentation, Slide 6. Net load payment = CAISO’s Gross load payment – CAISO’s Generator profit – CAISO’s Transmission revenue. See also TEAM Draft Update, September 10, 2026, Section 2.4.3, p. 22.
[10] Appendix G, Table G.9-13, p. G-68 (Alternative 1 and Alternative 6 rows) and Table G.9-14, pp. G-69 to G-70 (Alternative 6 row). Figures in the table are as reported by the CAISO; minor differences from direct subtraction reflect rounding in the published values.
[11] Appendix G, p. G-71 (“In the longer term, all alternatives, except for Alternative 2, showed benefit to cost ratios greater than 1.0 when the new congestion revenue allocation approaches were used.”).
[12] Appendix G, p. G-71 (“The ISO will consider recommending this alternative for approval in the next planning cycle after conducting bulk system reliability assessment…”). Nineteen transmission alternatives were assessed for mitigating congestion on the Path 15 corridor. See Appendix G, pp. G-64 to G-65 and Table G.9-14.
[13] Appendix G, Table G.9-13, p. G-68. The “Pre upgrade” row on Slide 10 reports CAISO load payment of $20,121 million, CAISO generator profit of $11,207 million, and CAISO transmission revenue of $3,453 million / $2,388 million / $2,667 million, which correspond to the Alternative 1 row. The base case row reports $20,718 million, $11,388 million, and $3,845 million / $2,629 million / $2,922 million.
[14] Appendix G, p. G-69 (“The production cost savings of Alternative 1 were the base case’s ISO net payment minus the Alternative 1 case’s ISO net payment. For the rest of alternatives, the production cost savings were calculated by using Alternative 1 as the base, since all these alternatives included the scope of Alternative 1. Correspondingly, the costs of these alternatives used in the benefit to cost ratio calculation did not include the cost of Alternative 1.”).
[15] Appendix G, pp. G-64 to G-65. Alternative 4 is Alternative 1 plus a new Midway – Tesla 500 kV line; Alternative 5 is Alternative 4 plus a new Windhub – Midway 500 kV line; and Alternative 6 is Alternative 5 plus the new line ties to Gates. The CAISO applied the same incremental convention in the Path 26 assessment, calculating savings for Alternatives 9 and 10 using Alternative 4 as the base. See Appendix G, p. G-59.
[16] Appendix G, p. G-71 (recommending Alternative 1 for approval as an economic-driven upgrade).
[17] September 17 Presentation, Slide 11 (Example 2 — Las Aguilas – Moss Landing study in 2025-2026 TPP cycle); Appendix G, Table G.9-17.
[18] Appendix G, Section G.3, Financial Parameters Used in Cost-Benefit Analysis. A 7% real discount rate was used, with a 40-year economic life assumed for reconductoring and 50 years for new lines. See also Appendix G, p. G-69.
[19] Appendix G, Sections G.7.1 and G.7.2, Tables G.7-1, G.7-5, and G.7-9 (congestion cost and duration by constraint in the base portfolio cases), and Tables G.9-4, G.9-11, and G.9-12 (congestion cost by mitigation alternative). The “Cost Forward” and “Cost Backward” columns in these tables describe the direction of flow on the constrained element and do not report area-level contributions.
[20] September 17 Presentation, Slide 8. Congestion revenue benefitting CAISO ratepayers is the summation of the congestion revenue allocated to each CAISO load area (PG&E, SCE, SDG&E, and VEA), based on the net positive flow distribution factors of areas to the constraint.
[21] Appendix G, Table G.9-13, p. G-68. Base-case CAISO transmission revenue falls from $3,845 million under the ownership-based approach to $2,629 million under the revised approach applied to CAISO constraints, a difference of approximately $1,216 million. The corresponding reattribution measured from the Alternative 1 row is approximately $1,065 million ($3,453 million to $2,388 million).
[22] Appendix G, Section G.2.4 and Revised Draft 2025-2026 Transmission Plan, Section 4.2.2 (“With the revised flow contribution-based approach, congestion revenue on ISO internal constraints is only partially allocated to ISO’s ratepayers, even though ISO’s PTOs may have 100% ownership on the transmission lines.”).
[23] CAISO, Extended Day-Ahead Market (EDAM) Congestion Revenue Allocation, Draft Final Proposal, April 16, 2025, at pp. 10-11 and p. 26 (describing allocation of internal congestion revenue and parallel flow congestion revenue “based on the location of the transmission constraint”).
[24] See Appendix G §G.2.4 and Revised Draft 2025-2026 Transmission Plan, where CAISO states that “With the revised flow contribution-based approach, congestion revenue on ISO internal constraints is only partially allocated to ISO’s ratepayers, even though ISO’s PTOs may have 100% ownership on the transmission lines.”
[25] Even under a revised design, congestion attributable to parallel flows from non-EDAM parties is likely to remain unfunded by any party.
[26] See id. at pp. 10-11 (summarizing the BAMx-suggested option under which parallel flow congestion revenues associated with a transmission constraint are allocated to balancing areas “in proportion to the balancing area’s contribution to the parallel flows”).
[27] CAISO, EDAM Congestion Revenue Allocation Phase 2 – Stakeholder Working Group Meeting, July 28, 2026. The Phase 2 initiative remains under development, and the treatment of parallel flow congestion revenue is among the matters still being considered.
[28] Appendix G, Table G.9-10, p. G-66 (Path 15 corridor constraints).
[29] Appendix G, Table G.9-14, pp. G-69 to G-70.
[30] Revised Draft 2025-2026 Transmission Plan, Section 4.2.2 (“In this planning cycle, production cost benefit calculations were performed on the current ownership-based congestion revenue allocation approach and the revised approach. The ISO considered these results on a case-by-case basis to understand the implications on the viability of economic-driven projects. The ISO will update the congestion cost revenue allocation in TEAM in 2026.”).
[31] September 17 Presentation, Slide 15 (Schedule).